Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.124519 1.366899 1.676188 2.111634 2.729864 3.612723 5.046631
2025-03-23 0.824694 1.100945 1.509638 2.203246 3.465116 5.982182 12.727322
2025-03-30 0.656897 0.928133 1.368712 2.219533 4.097594 9.207515 35.040760
2025-04-06 0.543576 0.796772 1.234486 2.160868 4.537804 13.124729 116.644811
2025-04-13 0.467934 0.705445 1.136513 2.119812 5.001181 18.940159 974.643770
2025-04-20 0.433811 0.675931 1.141738 2.309073 6.410042 38.828135 NaN
2025-04-27 0.399764 0.638786 1.120024 2.422464 7.806641 84.338256 NaN
2025-05-04 0.363935 0.591540 1.064330 2.415976 8.749133 176.140164 NaN
2025-05-11 0.329314 0.541221 0.990506 2.323132 9.149523 339.742599 NaN
2025-05-18 0.308390 0.514886 0.965787 2.377897 10.697842 2021.974448 NaN
2025-05-25 0.293579 0.498643 0.961199 2.502241 13.298989 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.275343 0.472813 0.927668 2.506496 15.033499 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.254228 0.439084 0.869640 2.397611 15.410967 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.243943 0.427462 0.867088 2.519156 19.643520 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.231322 0.409254 0.843593 2.541283 22.945852 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.217251 0.386388 0.803565 2.470587 24.359811 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.205257 0.367064 0.770529 2.420961 26.337728 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.201754 0.366545 0.790643 2.650866 40.081236 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.195930 0.360024 0.792128 2.789412 56.472328 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.187401 0.346339 0.769804 2.781470 66.895311 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.177481 0.328579 0.732589 2.668016 67.864720 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.171850 0.320611 0.724704 2.734889 91.428795 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.168050 0.316696 0.728987 2.887239 150.050422 NaN NaN